Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.971468 17.487940 20.230915 23.434142 27.063072 31.037401 35.709814
2025-02-16 10.331107 13.666491 17.689249 22.855091 29.265011 36.906368 46.648671
2025-02-23 7.712940 11.298887 15.991266 22.482485 31.115360 42.075855 56.896929
2025-03-02 6.060758 9.698276 14.800866 22.311161 32.880394 46.992261 66.977500
2025-03-09 4.884168 8.468151 13.818807 22.135177 34.423675 51.547056 76.753102
2025-03-16 3.717613 6.991124 12.192340 20.720517 33.929232 53.097810 82.357573
2025-03-23 3.253224 6.541286 12.037236 21.442777 36.561164 59.205790 94.751402
2025-03-30 2.929813 6.263944 12.099174 22.475244 39.709691 66.247309 108.925278
2025-04-06 2.422185 5.546011 11.298011 21.961788 40.310265 69.407321 117.413873
2025-04-13 1.931298 4.754446 10.236102 20.844697 39.764833 70.669967 122.976778
2025-04-20 1.791808 4.654318 10.432740 21.968521 43.076918 78.287564 138.960291
2025-04-27 1.704989 4.650419 10.808313 23.447198 47.104884 87.301872 157.660387
2025-05-04 1.474715 4.293705 10.467133 23.606120 48.934318 93.002253 171.697199
2025-05-11 1.251648 3.907007 10.013473 23.509894 50.326888 98.127295 185.237586
2025-05-18 1.050980 3.524261 9.501686 23.222462 51.316157 102.596894 197.919478
2025-05-25 0.891675 3.208046 9.082558 23.064577 52.518859 107.496830 211.598217
2025-06-01 0.756772 2.922085 8.682212 22.887036 53.646686 112.306653 225.358477
2025-06-08 0.584048 2.464143 7.769725 21.431704 52.014845 111.853010 229.617591
2025-06-15 0.532448 2.382341 7.808158 22.175259 55.026869 120.357352 250.641157
2025-06-22 0.497963 2.349937 7.973342 23.237836 58.801478 130.541884 275.269858
2025-06-29 0.413566 2.107820 7.513194 22.709449 59.055645 133.845992 287.159741
2025-07-06 0.325645 1.815382 6.845638 21.559688 57.802349 134.044567 293.120914
2025-07-13 0.309830 1.814743 7.055535 22.716380 61.901181 145.303837 320.951408